Showing 1 - 10 of 9,119
This lecture discusses the economic losses that result from an unfunded social security retirement system and the potential gain from shifting to a funded system. The social security payroll tax distorts labor supply and the form in which compensation is paid. Although each individual's benefits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473451
We study a sequential experimentation model with endogenous feedback. Agents choose between a safe and risky action, the latter generating stochastic rewards. When making this choice, each agent is selfishly motivated (myopic). However, agents can disclose their experiences to a public record,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544761
We identify which types of Social Security reforms are supported when people vote in their financial self-interest, under alternative economic and demographic projections and voting proclivity assumptions. While 40% of voters have negative lifetime net transfers, less than 10% have negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479934
We provide semiparametric identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486255
This paper compares two general methods of privatization social security: forced participation in the new privatized system vs. letting people choose between the new system or staying in social security (i.e., opting out). Simulations are performed using a large scale perfect-foresight OLG...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472378
maker has learned? The key constraint we impose, which is shared across models of Bayesian learning, is that any learning … Dean 2015) and the NIAS condition (Caplin and Martin 2015) to allow for arbitrary learning. We apply our framework to show … how identification of what was learned can be strengthened with additional assumptions on the form of Bayesian learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537767
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459805
In order to quantify these effects, we develop a computational general equilibrium model. We feed this multi-country overlapping generations model with detailed long-term demographic projections for seven world regions. Our simulations indicate that capital flows from fast-aging regions to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466821
may serve as an effective tool to share aggregate risk between generations. Our quantitative analysis shows that, first … social security does indeed represent a Pareto improving reform, if households are both fairly risk-averse and fairly willing … overturns these gains for degrees of risk aversion and intertemporal elasticity of substitution commonly used in the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469293
This paper analyzes the transition from the existing pay-as-you-go Social Security program to a system of funded Mandatory" Individual Retirement Accounts (MIRAs). Because of the high return on real capital relative to the very low return in a mature pay-as-you-go program, the benefits that can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473073