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We develop a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm for estimating Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, wherein a particle approximation to the posterior is built iteratively through tempering the likelihood. Using three examples consisting of an artificial state-space...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459510
-Gaussian DSGE models by sampling the joint likelihood of parameters and latent states. We show that the gradient-based joint … likelihood sampling approach is superior in efficiency and robustness to standard Metropolis-Hastings samplers by estimating a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435135
testing for PPP or LOOP, model specification and data sampling should not proceed without consideration of the actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479048
We examine the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005, 2008) model in several out-of-sample analyzes. The model's one-factor forecasting structure characterizes the term structures of additional currencies in samples ending in 2003. In post-2003 data one-factor structures again characterize each currency's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480743
first characterize the biases in both network statistics and estimates of network effects under non-random sampling …-classical measurement-error problems when applied as regressors. Apart from the sampling rate and the elicitation procedure, these biases … applied to network data collected via both designed and non-designed sampling procedures, does not require one to assume any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480921
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480967
In this paper I analyze GMM estimation when the sample is not a random draw from the population of interest. I exploit auxiliary information, in the form of moments from the population of interest, in order to compute weights that are proportional to the inverse probability of selection. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470143
In many fields researchers wish to consider statistical models that allow for more complex relationships than can be inferred using only cross-sectional data. Panel or longitudinal data where the same units are observed repeatedly at different points in time can often provide the richer data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472315
By 1989 the Michigan Panel Study on Income Dynamics (PSID) had experienced approximately 50 percent sample loss from cumulative attrition from its initial 1968 membership. We study the effect of this attrition on the unconditional distributions of several socioeconomic variables and on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472427