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The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average of 3.4% in the 1980s and 7.6% in the 1990s to 0.8% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the percentage of stock market assets linked to the index. A similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477240
Motivated by psychological evidence that attention is a scarce cognitive resource, we model investors' attention allocation in learning and study the effects of this on asset-price dynamics. We show that limited investor attention leads to ``category-learning" behavior, i.e., investors tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467281
fundamentals, focusing primarily on temperature. We show that when theory clearly identifies the fundamental, i.e., at temperatures …-thirds of the entire winter return variability occurs on these days. Moreover, when theory suggests no such relation, i.e., at … is good news for the theory and for market efficiency, not bad news. In terms of residual FCOJ return volatility, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469188
Equity market liberalizations are like IPOs, but they are IPOs of a country's stock market rather than of individual firms. Both are endogenous events whose benefits are limited by poor investor protection, agency costs, and information asymmetries. As for stock prices following an IPO, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469222
We propose a tractable model of an informationally inefficient market featuring non-revealing prices, no noise traders, and general assumptions on preferences and payoff distributions. We show the equivalence between our model and a substantially simpler model whereby investors face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455983
In recent years, central banks have increasingly turned to "forward guidance" as a central tool of monetary policy, especially as interest rates around the world have hit the zero lower bound. Standard monetary models imply that far future forward guidance is extremely powerful: promises about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457784
In the Medicare Advantage (MA) market, private health insurers compete to offer plans with the most attractive premium and benefit package. Medicare provides a subsidy, based on a "benchmark payment rate", for each Medicare beneficiary a plan enrolls. We investigate how this subsidy, the primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458457
We study a model where some agents have private information about risky asset returns and trade to obtain capital gains, while others acquire the risky asset and hold it to maturity, forming expectations of returns based on market prices. We show that under such a structure, in addition to fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458620
We analyze a novel method for improving the efficiency of pollution permit markets by optimizing the way in which emissions are exchanged through trade. Under full-information, it is optimal for emissions to exchange according to the ratio of marginal damages. However, under a canonical model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458836
An endogenous growth model is developed where each period firms invest in researching and developing new ideas. An idea increases a firm's productivity. By how much depends on how central the idea is to a firm's activity. Ideas can be bought and sold on a market for patents. A firm can sell an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458900