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their dynamics. Using the model, we price dividend strips of the aggregate market index, as well as any other well …-diversified equity portfolio. We do not use any dividend strips data in the estimation of the model; however, model-implied equity yields … generated by the model match closely the equity yields from the traded dividend forwards reported in the literature. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250137
Many leading asset pricing models predict that the term structures of expected returns and volatilities on dividend … these models replace their exogenously specified dividend dynamics with processes that are derived endogenously from capital …) when leverage is low (high), which shifts risk from long-horizon to short-horizon dividend strips. This framework also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460210
We use equity returns to construct a time-varying measure of the interest rate that we call the zero-beta rate: the expected return of a stock portfolio orthogonal to the stochastic discount factor. The zero-beta rate is high and volatile. In contrast to safe rates, the zero-beta rate fits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337830
We survey the growing literature emphasizing the role that supply-and-demand forces play in shaping the term structure of interest rates. Our starting point is the Vayanos and Vila (2009, 2021) model of the term structure of default-free bond yields, which we present in both discrete and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437010
Intermediation capacity varies across dealers, and as a result, misallocation of credit risk reduces the risk-bearing capacity of the dealer sector and increases effective market-level risk aversion. When the efficient reallocation of credit risk within the dealer sector is impaired, interdealer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072939
values of returns, dividend growth, the dividend-price ratio, and all Campbell-Shiller-style regression results involving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544759
We use traded equity dividend strips from U.S., Europe, and Japan from 2004-2017 to study the slope of the term … structure of equity dividend risk premia. In the data, a robust finding is that the term structure of dividend risk premia … and expansion regimes. The unconditional population term structure of dividend-risk premia in the regime-switching model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479642
to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which allows us to … decompose the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that both expected dividend growth rates and risk premia exhibit … substantial variation over time, particularly for short maturities. In addition to predicting dividend growth, equity yields help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461242
We propose a new framework to explain the factor structure in the full cross section of Treasury bond returns. Our method unifies non-parametric curve estimation with cross-sectional factor modeling. We identify smoothness as a fundamental principle of the term structure of returns. Our approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544750
The past half-century has seen major shifts in inflation expectations, how inflation comoves with the business cycle, and how stocks comove with Treasury bonds. Against this backdrop, we review the economic channels and empirical evidence on how inflation is priced in financial markets. Not all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247931