Showing 1 - 10 of 2,507
This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362020
loading on the expected real GDP growth rate is a priced risk measure. A fully tradable, ex-ante portfolio formed on this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544787
We propose a comprehensive measure of systematic risk for corporate bonds as a nonlinear function of robust risk … factors and find a significantly positive link between systematic risk and the time-series and cross-section of future bond … returns. We also find a positive but insignificant relation between idiosyncratic risk and future bond returns, suggesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479944
We present a new model of asset prices in which investors evaluate risk according to prospect theory and examine its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481738
of the other variables. Our relations are useful for understanding the risk-return trade-off, as well as characterizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465813
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity …-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices …, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This war risk factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469089
dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational … risk as well as expected return, we develop Bayesian methods to examine the interaction between the data and an investor … and a riskless asset. In general, however, the simple risk/return model of Merton (1980) explains very little of the yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470049
components of systematic and diversifiable risk. Focusing on two periods around the 1973 switch from fixed to floating exchange … increase in total volatility led to a significant increase in market risk (beta) for the multinational firms relative to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473547
correlations with developed countries' equity markets significantly reduces the unconditional portfolio risk of a world investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474313
We distinguish the measure of risk aversion from the slope coefficient in the linear relationship between the mean … excess return on a stock index and its variance. Even when risk aversion is constant, the latter can vary significantly with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475371