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We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725
An iconic model with high leverage and overvalued collateral assets is used to illustrate the amplification mechanism driving asset prices to 'overshoot' equilibrium when an asset bubble bursts--threatening widespread insolvency and what Richard Koo calls a 'balance sheet recession'
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462797
Emerging market economies are fertile ground for the development of real estate and other financial bubbles. Despite … value in the developed world. Bubbles are beneficial because they provide domestic stores of value and thereby reduce … capital flow reversals. We show that domestic financial underdevelopment not only facilitates the emergence of bubbles, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467059
Stock-market crashes tend to follow run-ups in prices. These episodes look like bubbles that gradually inflate and then … suddenly burst. We show that such bubbles can form in a Zeira-Rob type of model in which demand size is uncertain. Two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468137
. The theory predicts that asset prices carry a speculative premium that reflects the asset's marketability and depends on … anomalous. The theory also exhibits rational expectations equilibria with recurring belief driven events that resemble liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457141
individuals, to explain bubbles, crises, and endogenous risk in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459756
Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475403
We develop a model of banking crises which Is consistent with two important features of the data: First, banking crises are usually preceded by credit booms. Second, credit booms often do not result in a crisis. That is, there are "good" booms as well as "bad" booms in the language of Gorton and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481336
We study crashes using data from 101 global stock markets from 1692 to 2015. Extremely large, annual stock market declines are typically followed by positive returns. This is not true for smaller declines. This pattern does not appear to be driven by institutional frictions, financial crises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453881
We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462257