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We develop a dynamic model of firm investment under uncertainty that captures firms' risk attitude using quantile …-quantile of its value next period. In our framework, τ ∈ (0, 1) parametrizes the firm's attitude toward downside risk. The model … value of future marginal profits -- investment depends directly on the firm's risk attitude. We further integrate our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544776
We introduce a model of oligopoly dynamic pricing where firms with limited capacity face a sales deadline. We establish conditions under which the equilibrium is unique and converges to a system of differential equations. Using unique and comprehensive pricing and bookings data for competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362001
Industries with significant scale economies or learning-by-doing may come to be dominated by a single firm. Economists have studied how likely this is to happen, and whether it is efficient, using models where buyers are price or quantity takers, even though these industries are often also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528398
role of secondary markets in providing opportunities for redistributing risk is made transparent and the modifications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478938
I characterize a dynamic economy under general distributions of households' risk tolerance, endowments, and beliefs … consumption-share increases; (b) the wealth-share of high risk-tolerant households increases; (c) richer households' wealth … risk sharing. Higher uncertainty increases stock prices, risk premiums, volatility, wealth inequality and the dispersion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479404
explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480462
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … variation in risk premia over time, are observationally equivalent to preference shocks. An increase in the perceived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463250
The paper illustrates how one may assess our comprehensive uncertainty about the various relations in the entire chain from human activity to climate change. Using a modified version of the RICE model of the global economy and climate, we perform Monte Carlo simulations, where full sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464221
In a world of certainty, the design of environmental policy is relatively straightforward, and boils down to maximizing the present value of the flow of social benefits minus costs. But the real world is one of considerable uncertainty -- over the physical and ecological impact of pollution,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465909
. Finally we assess the role of risk, finding little evidence that risk-aversion drives a wedge between market prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466742