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This paper tests if real and financial linkages between countries can explain why movements in the world's largest … between the world's 5 largest economies and about 40 other markets to decompose the cross-country factor loadings into: direct … to be the most important determinant of how movements in the world's largest markets affect financial markets around the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469145
In this paper, I develop a new identification method to solve the problem of simultaneous equations, based on heteroskedasticity of the structural shocks. I show that if the heteroskedasticity can be described as a two-regime process, then the system is just identified under relatively weak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471283
The empirical literature on contagion has mainly measured the propagation of shocks across countries using daily stock markets, interest rates, and exchange rates. Several methodologies have been used for this purpose, however, the properties of the data introduces important limitations on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470611
identification procedure based on conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) that solves the problem of estimation in a linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470080
While economic theory highlights the usefulness of flexible exchange rates in promoting adjustment in international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456694
In this paper I offer an alternative identification assumption that allows one to test for changing patterns regarding the international propagation of shocks when endogenous variables, omitted variables, and heteroskedasticity are present in the data. Using this methodology, I demonstrate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471430
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809
of both advanced and emerging countries during two periods of globalization -- the pre-World War I classical gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469694
The data show large and persistent deviations of real exchange rates from purchasing power parity. Recent work has shown that to a large extent these movements are driven by deviations from the law of one price for traded goods. In the data, real and nominal exchange rates are about 6 times as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472952
This paper studies the mechanism of international transmission of exchange rate shocks within a 3-country Center-Periphery model, providing a choice-theoretic framework for the policy analysis and empirical assessment of competitive devaluations. If relative prices and terms of trade exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471922