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Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459
attribute a substantial amount of the correlation across world property markets to the effects of changes in GNP, suggesting … segmented. While industrial, office and retail properties exist all around the world, they are not economic substitutes because … of locational specificity. In addition, the broad securitization of real estate property companies has, until recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471209
aggregate income change is mixed. We analyze economic growth and fertility change in the developing world over six decades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455680
We study the distribution of economic activity, as proxied by lights at night, across 250,000 grid cells of average area 560 square kilometers. We first document that nearly half of the variation can be explained by a parsimonious set of physical geography attributes. A full set of country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456530
Persistent differences in interest rates across countries account for much of the profitability of currency carry trade strategies. "Commodity currencies'' tend to have high interest rates while low interest rate currencies belong to exporters of finished goods. This pattern arises in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459290
This paper provides a unified equilibrium approach to valuing a wide variety of commercial real estate lease contracts. Using a game-theoretic variant of real options analysis, the underlying real estate asset market is modeled as a continuous-time Nash equilibrium in which developers make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469228
The great housing convulsion that buffeted America between 2000 and 2010 has historical precedents, from the frontier land boom of the 1790s to the skyscraper craze of the 1920s. But this time was different. There was far less real uncertainty about fundamental economic and geographic trends,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459837
A substantial retail appetite for real estate securities during this period may have significantly contributed to a real construction boom, but overly optimistic speculation in these securities may have led to overbuilding. The rapid deterioration of these securities and a near complete drop in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463000
We document that the correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample … plus imports), which reduces the correlation between capital inflows and outflows. In the context of a two-country model … with 14 shocks we show that the theoretical impact of financial and trade globalization on the correlation between capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455011
information-based model demonstrates that the correlation of beliefs implied by analyst forecasts leads to return correlations … broadly in line with the data, both in levels and across countries - the correlation between predicted and actual is 0.63. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457188