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combines the uncertainty shock idea of Bloom (2009) with a model of international trade, extending the idea to the open economy …. Firms import intermediate inputs from home or foreign suppliers, but with higher costs in the latter case. Due to fixed … costs of ordering firms hold an inventory of intermediates. We show that in response to an uncertainty shock firms optimally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458725
The rise of China in world trade has brought both benefits and anxiety to other economies. For many policy questions, it is crucial to know the extent of domestic value added (DVA) in exports, but the computation is more complicated when processing trade is pervasive. We propose a method for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464536
This paper applies a novel empirical approach to characterising the horizontal-ness and vertical-ness of affiliates based on Yeaple's complex FDI concept. In its simplest form, horizontal-ness is measured as affiliates' local sales share while their vertical-ness is measures as their share of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460576
Emerging economies, particularly those dependent on commodity exports, are prone to highly disruptive economic cycles. This paper proposes a small open economy model for a net commodity exporter to quantitatively study the triggers of these cycles. The economy consists of two sectors, one of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453995
This paper examines the role of inventories in the decline of production, trade, and expenditures in the US in the economic crisis of late 2008 and 2009. Empirically, we show that international trade declined more drastically than trade-weighted production or absorption and there was a sizeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462596
The large, persistent fluctuations in international trade that can not be explained in standard models by changes in expenditures and relative prices are often attributed to trade wedges. We show that these trade wedges can reflect the decisions of importers to change their inventory holdings....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460469
Empirical evidence suggests that as much as 1/3 of the U.S. business cycle is due to nominal shocks. We calibrate a multi-sector menu cost model using new evidence on the cross-sectional distribution of the frequency and size of price changes in the U.S. economy. We augment the model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464646
Our paper integrates results from trade-in-task theory into mainstream trade theory by developing trade-in-task analogues to the four famous theorems (Heckscher-Ohlin, factor price equalisation, Stolper-Samuelson, and Rybczynski) and showing the standard gains-from-trade theorem does not hold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462768
This paper presents a theoretical basis fcr the srgunent that large exchange rate shocks - such as the rise of the dollar from 1980 to 1985 - may shift historical relationships between exchange rates and trade flows. We begin with partial models in which large exchange rate fluctuations lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477053
We ask how export demand shocks associated with the Asian financial crisis affected Chinese exporters. We construct firm-specific exchange rate shocks based on the pre-crisis destinations of firms' exports. Because the shocks were unanticipated and large, they are a plausible instrument for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464017