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A new statistical procedure is used to test for weak form efficiency in the foreign exchange futures markets. Using daily currency futures prices for the 1976-1990 period, we conclude that successive exchange rate changes have not been independent We examine the implications of this finding for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474619
or the same destination market, is found among Japanese exporters. We propose the "broad two-way exporters" whose export … destinations and import origins do not necessarily match and the "narrow two-way exporters" whose export destination and import …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512130
We explore the consequences of global capital market segmentation by currency for the optimal currency composition of borrowing by firms. Global bond portfolios are driven by the currency of denomination of assets as investors prefer to lend in their home currency or the international currency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437022
relatively understudied. We study firms' currency risk exposure and their hedging choices by employing a unique dataset covering …, international trade, trade credits and foreign currency debt. We uncover four novel facts: (i) natural hedging of currency risk is … limited, (ii) financial hedging is more likely to be used by larger firms and for larger amounts, (iii) firms in international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585394
in foreign currency. So the firm's hedging strategy is simple: sell foreign currency futures equal to the value of its … and its marginal cost in order to assess its exposure to exchange rates. So its hedging strategy also requires detailed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473341
It has been a well-known puzzle why the yen has not been used more in trade invoicing among Japanese exporters. Despite the yen's status as an only fully convertible currency in Asia, two patterns stand out as puzzling features of an excessively small share of yen invoicing: First, a strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462424
Financial markets play two roles with implications for the exchange rate: they accommodate risk sharing and act as a source of shocks. In prevailing theories, these roles are seen as mutually exclusive and individually face challenges in explaining exchange rate dynamics. However, we demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544715
We link the sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar from 2011 to 2019 to international capital flows driven by primitive economic factors. We show that increases in foreign investors' net savings, increases in U.S. monetary policy rates relative to the rest of the world, and shifts in investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435120
When available financial securities allow investors to optimally diversify risk across countries, standard theory implies that exchange rates should reflect this behavior. However, exchange rates observed in the data deviate from these predictions. In this paper, we develop a framework to value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388777
; currencies, commodities, and real estate also mostly hedge against energy inflation but not core. These hedging properties are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334388