Showing 1 - 10 of 1,017
The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper … constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass …, and more closely related to headline inflation over the next year. The weighted median also has a drawback: in most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247953
1974 to 2017. We find that the official annual inflation rate understates welfare-relevant inflation for the poorest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435111
The main results of the analysis are as follows. 1) After correcting for measurement error, wages appear to be very … wage change is positively correlated with the unemployment rate and with the consumer price inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462526
This paper shows that conventional measures of cost-of-living inflation, based on static models of consumption, suffer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466926
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470015
In this paper, we investigate the use of limited-information estimators as measures of core inflation. Employing a …-sectional distribution of inflation can cause substantial noise in the aggregate price index at high frequencies. The model suggests that … limited-influence estimators, such as the median of the cross-sectional distribution of inflation, will provide superior short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474657
2017 to shed light on how online inflation compares to overall inflation, and to gauge the magnitude of new product bias … online. The Adobe data contain transaction prices and quantities purchased. We estimate that online inflation was about 1 … online, implies roughly 2 percentage points lower inflation than in a matched model/CPI-style index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453070
Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459159
conventional and aggregated inflation expectations. Our results chart a new course for designing measurement of inflation …This paper introduces a novel measure of consumer inflation expectations: We elicit and combine inflation forecasts … across categories of personal consumption expenditure to form an aggregated measure of inflation expectations. Drawing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436953
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124