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Recent theories of exchange rate determination have emphasized limited UIP arbitrage by international financial … institutions. New regulations since 2008 have also lead to imperfect CIP arbitrage. We show that under limited CIP arbitrage the … operate through the swap market, which have no effect under perfect CIP arbitrage. More familiar financial shocks that impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056203
We build a model of emerging markets crises which features two types of collateral constraints. Firms in a domestic economy have limited borrowing capacity from international investors. They also have limited borrowing capacity with respect to each other. We study how the presence of and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470765
We study the effects of dollar swap lines using high frequency responses in asset prices around policy announcements. News about expanded dollar swap lines causes a reduction in liquidity premia, compression of deviations from covered interest parity (CIP), and depreciation of the dollar. Equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437032
phenomena, we develop a two-country model featuring (i) market segmentation, (ii) limited CIP arbitrage (since 2007), (iii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447258
I provide a novel theory to account for these phenomena and use it to shed light on the data. I break new ground … suspension of convertibility exceeds some agent-specific threshold. The implications of the theory are highlighted in an … analytically tractable example. The theory is then used as a guide to examine and interpret the data, using bi-hourly observations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334473
controls imposed by the Japanese authority.To that end, new measures of one-way arbitrage gain are defined taking into account …, in Japan. According to our measure, covered interest parity has been holding, as theory predicts, in the Euro market … imposed by the Japanese Government are detected by one-way arbitrage measures between Gensaki in Japan and Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477912
For several decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely--even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480075
Two explanations are given for why nominal or real returns differ across currencies: foreign exchange risk premia and systematic (rational) forecast errors. This study reexamines three parity conditions in international finance, uncovered interest parity, purchasing power parity, and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473981
Disequilibrating macro shocks affect different firms' prospects differently, increasing idiosyncratic variation in forward-looking stock returns before affecting economic growth. Consistent with most such shocks from 1947 to 2020 enhancing productivity, increased idiosyncratic stock return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210099
Research has shown that the unilateral accumulation of international reserves by a country can improve its own macro-financial stability. However, we show that when many countries accumulate reserves, the induced general equilibrium effects weaken financial and macroeconomic stability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056133