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We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469142
Inflation persists at moderate rates of 15-30 percent in all the countries that successfully reduced triple digit … inflations in the 1980s. Several other countries, for example Colombia, have experienced moderate inflation for prolonged periods …. In this paper we first set out theories of persistent inflation, which can be classified into those emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475091
This paper discusses the acceleration of inflation in Brazil. In the early 1980s, the Brazilian inflation rate … Cruzado Plan failed to stop inflation because of an extremely loose monetary policy coupled with a lack of fiscal austerity …. Repeated price controls have increased the variability of inflation. More recently, the decline in tax collections and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475435
A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969 …. Private sector learning about policymaker type leads to a reputation state variable. We use model inflation forecasting rules … to extract state variables from SPF inflation forecasts. US inflation is tracked by optimal policy without commitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477255
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464053
raising their interest rate instrument more than one-for-one in response to higher inflation---to an environment in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466797
I separately identify and estimate the effects of the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate, forward guidance, and large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) policies on the U.S. economy. I extend the high-frequency identification strategy of Bauer and Swanson (2023b) for monetary policy VARs by allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337836
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124