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Standard theory implies that the discount rates used by firms in investment decisions (i.e., their required returns to … below the one- to-one mapping assumed by standard theory, with substantial heterogeneity across firms. This pattern leads to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322717
This article summarizes empirical research on the interaction between monetary policy and asset markets, and reviews our previous theoretical work that captures these interactions. We present a concise model in which monetary policy impacts the aggregate asset price, which in turn influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468253
Benchmark finance and macroeconomic models appear to deliver conflicting estimates of the natural rate and bond risk …* and π*, and not bond risk premia. Global components of unexpected bond returns are influential, while the local components … theory and previous findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421212
short-run inflation rate. Over the last century real stock prices have shown little reaction to changes in inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475563
This article provides a stochastic valuation framework for bond and stock returns that builds on three different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471438
Uncovered interest parity (UIP) has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements, although there is little consensus on why it fails. In contrast to previous studies, which have used relatively short-horizon data, we test UIP using interest rates on longer-maturity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472016
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets … when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus … growth and with lower future output growth in the short term. Because of this new nexus between stock and bond returns, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462964
We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464841
From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
Workhorse Gaussian affine term structure models (ATSMs) attribute time-varying bond risk premia entirely to changing … preferences. The new model has an ATSM representation with analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We find that … time variation in bond term premia is predominantly driven by the price of risk, especially, the price of expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456492