Standard theory implies that the discount rates used by firms in investment decisions (i.e., their required returns to … below the one- to-one mapping assumed by standard theory, with substantial heterogeneity across firms. This pattern leads to …

Benchmark finance and macroeconomic models appear to deliver conflicting estimates of the natural rate and bond risk …* and π*, and not bond risk premia. Global components of unexpected bond returns are influential, while the local components … theory and previous findings …

short-run inflation rate. Over the last century real stock prices have shown little reaction to changes in inflation rates …

Workhorse Gaussian affine term structure models (ATSMs) attribute time-varying bond risk premia entirely to changing … preferences. The new model has an ATSM representation with analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We find that … time variation in bond term premia is predominantly driven by the price of risk, especially, the price of expected …

This paper develops an affine model of the term structure of interest rates in which bond yields are driven by … structural disturbances on output, inflation, and interest rates and to decompose movements in long-term rates into terms …

Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets … when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus … growth and with lower future output growth in the short term. Because of this new nexus between stock and bond returns, a …

We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our …

This article provides a stochastic valuation framework for bond and stock returns that builds on three different …