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Inflation Past, Present and Future : Fiscal Shocks, Fed Response, and Fiscal Limits
Cochrane, John H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
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Fiscal Consequences of Central Bank Losses
Cecchetti, Stephen G.; Hilscher, Jens - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
In response to the Global Financial Crisis, central banks engaged in large-scale asset purchases funded by the issuance of reserves. These "unconventional" policies continued during the pandemic, so that by 2022 central banks' balance sheets had grown up to ten-fold. As a result of rapidly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544756
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Fiscal Histories
Cochrane, John H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long … pegs, the ends of hyperinflations, currency crashes, and the success of inflation targets. Going forward, fiscal theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
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Helicopter Drops and Liquidity Traps
Amador, Manuel; Bianchi, Javier - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We show that if the central bank operates without commitment and faces constraints on its balance sheet, helicopter drops can be a useful stabilization tool during a liquidity trap. With commitment, even with balance sheet constraints, helicopter drops are irrelevant
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247967
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Estimating DSGE Models : Recent Advances and Future Challenges
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús - 2020
We review the current state of the estimation of DSGE models. After introducing a general framework for dealing with DSGE models, the state-space representation, we discuss how to evaluate moments or the likelihood function implied by such a structure. We discuss, in varying degrees of detail,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481263
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Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
Aruoba, S. Borağan - 2020
We develop an algorithm to construct approximate decision rules that are piecewise-linear and continuous for DSGE models with an occasionally binding constraint. The functional form of the decision rules allows us to derive a conditionally optimal particle filter (COPF) for the evaluation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482211
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Post Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory
Farmer, Roger E.A. - 2017
disparate traditions. I make the case for unity between Post-Keynesian and General Equilibrium Theory under the banner of Post …-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455572
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Printing Away the Mortgages : Fiscal Inflation and the Post-Covid Boom
Diamond, William F.; Landvoigt, Tim; Sánchez, Germán … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We analyze the impact of fiscal and monetary stimulus in an economy with mortgage debt, where inflation redistributes from savers to borrowers. We show theoretically that fiscal transfers without future tax increases cause a surge in inflation, increasing consumption demand and house prices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576602
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Optimal Monetary Policy with Redistribution
La'O, Jennifer; Morrison, Wendy A. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study optimal monetary policy in a general equilibrium economy with heterogeneous agents and nominal rigidities. Households differ in type-specific, state-contingent labor productivity and initial firm ownership, yet markets are complete. The fiscal authority has access to a linear tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072863
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Quantifying the Costs and Benefits of Quantitative Easing
Levin, Andrew T.; Lu, Brian L.; Nelson, William R. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241