Showing 1 - 10 of 1,406
This paper attempts to assess whether money can generate persistent economic" fluctuations in dynamic general equilibrium models of the business cycle. We show that a small" nominal friction in the goods market can make the response of output to monetary shocks large" and persistent if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472554
This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362020
We decompose the returns differential between U.S. portfolio claims and liabilities into the composition, return, and timing effects. Our most striking and robust finding is that foreigners exhibit poor timing when reallocating between bonds and equities within their U.S. portfolios. The poor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463572
We use a fully-specified neoclassical model augmented with costly external equity as a laboratory to study the relations between stock returns and equity financing decisions. Simulations show that the model can simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduce: procyclical equity issuance;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466657
time-varying weight in new lists, and one can decompose the market return into a fixed weight return plus a timing return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469664
average returns. This rules out typical risk-based explanations and is a challenge to structural models of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456467
, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the cross-sectional dimension is fixed or increasing. We derive a Central … Limit Theorem (CLT) for the cross-sectional beta dispersion at a point in time, enabling us to test whether this quantity … beta dispersion, as a function of time-of-day, changes across days. We extend this further by developing inference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480274
We recover prices of dividend strips on the aggregate stock market using data from derivatives markets. The price of a k-year dividend strip is the present value of the dividend paid in k years. The value of the stock market is the sum of all dividend strip prices across maturities. We study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462202
rates predictable? This paper proposes an answer to these questions based on a time-varying probability of a consumption … disaster. In the model, aggregate consumption follows a normal distribution with low volatility most of the time, but with some … the equity premium, while time-variation in the probability of this outcome drives high stock market volatility and excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464261
periods, including those induced by Daylight Saving Time changes, weather conditions and anticipation of major holidays …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453044