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We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
each from the perspective of the rest of the world (ROW). We show that while U.S. monetary policy shocks act as financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528370
Central banks across the globe introduced large-scale asset purchase programs to address the unprecedented circumstances experienced during the pandemic. Many of these programs were announced as open-ended to shock-and-awe market participants and restore confidence in financial markets. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486207
an inflation surprise and the nominal exchange rate can tell us something about how monetary policy is conducted …. Specifically, we show that 'bad news' about inflation -- that it is higher than expected -- can be 'good news' for the nominal … exchange rate -- that it appreciates on this news -- if the central bank has an inflation target that it implements with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465645
We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463753
Over the 21st century, and especially since 2014, global exchange rate volatility has been trending downwards, notably … continued through the Covid-19 recession to date: unusual, as exchange volatility generally rises in US recessions. Compared to … measures of stock price volatility, exchange rate volatility rivals the lows reached in the heyday of Bretton Woods I. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482327
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … inflation rate. We find that trilemma policy configurations and external finances affect output volatility through the … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470183
How do Bitcoin prices evolve? What are the consequences for monetary policy? We answer these questions in a novel, yet simple endowment economy. There are two types of money, both useful for transactions: Bitcoins and Dollars. A central bank keeps the real value of Dollars constant, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453232
appreciates in the medium run, while an increase in the volatility of productivity leads to a dollar depreciation. We propose a … volatility shocks is consistent with the empirical evidence. Furthermore we show that risk factors and interest-rate smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461525