Showing 1 - 10 of 9,650
Portfolio optimization focuses on risk and return prediction, yet implementation costs critically matter. Predicting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094879
A number of papers have solved for the optimal dynamic portfolio strategy when expected returns are time-varying and trading is costly, but only for agents with myopic utility. Non-myopic agents benefit from hedging against future shocks to the investment opportunity set even when transaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094900
feature higher risk free rates, lower risk premiums on fully diversified and concentrated assets, less capital accumulation …, yet higher consumption and welfare. Exposure to undiversified firm risk can explain approximately 40% of the level and 20 …% of the volatility of the equity premium. A targeted subsidy that decreases diversification improves welfare by increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250139
We document that value-to-price, the ratio of Residual-Income-Model-based valuation to market price, subsumes the power of book-to-market ratio and many other value or quality measures in predicting stock returns. Long-short value-to-price portfolios hedge against momentum, revitalize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226164
We analyze an environment where the uncertainty in the equity market return and its volatility are both stochastic, and … conditional equity premium and risk-free rate in equilibrium. Our empirical analysis shows that the equity premium appears to be … earned for facing uncertainty, especially high uncertainty that is disconnected from lower volatility, rather than for facing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616642
price volatility and "sentiment" fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two … excessively pessimistic. We find that because irrational traders introduce an additional source of risk, rational investors reduce … "sentiment risk." The answer to the question posed in the title is: "There is little that rational investors can do optimally to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466868
This paper studies the pricing of volatility risk using the first-order conditions of a long-term equity investor who … volatility. Empirically, we present novel evidence that low-frequency movements in equity volatility, tied to the default spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460249
help to explain the enormous counter-cyclical volatility of aggregate risk compensation in financial markets. To answer … these intermittent re-balancers more than double the effect of aggregate shocks on the time variation in risk premia by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463268
uncertainty. The results dictate the role of uncertainty and volatility in structural models and we show they are consistent with … a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish … short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the … propose a sparsity-based bounded rationality model of long-run risk that is both parsimonious and fully identified from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465744