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implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can … allocate risk efficiently to future generations, implying that stochastic government policies have the potential to create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477349
-generational transmission of wealth. Financial markets are incomplete, exposing agents to both labor income and capital income risk. We show … that the stationary wealth distribution is a Pareto distribution in the right tail and that it is capital income risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463917
We explore the quantitative implications of uncertainty about the length of life and a lack of annuity markets for life cycle consumption in a general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which markets are otherwise complete. Empirical studies find that consumption tends to rise early in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466324
optimally shares risks across generations exposes future generations to a share of the risk in physical capital returns. Such a … system reduces precautionary saving and increases the risk-bearing capacity of the economy. Under plausible conditions it … increases the riskless interest rate, lowers the price of physical capital, and reduces the risk premium on physical capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466465
This paper examines the optimal allocation of risk in an overlapping-generations economy. It compares the allocation of … risk the economy reaches naturally to the allocation that would be reached if generations behind a Rawlsian 'veil of … ignorance' could share risk with one another through complete Arrow-Debreu contingent-claims markets. The paper then examines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470454
Are market and voting institutions capable of producing optimal intergenerational risk-sharing? To study this question … that take place in markets and voting institutions. Unlike most of that literature, we study both ex-ante and interim risk …-sharing. Our main conclusion is that both types of institutions have serious problems. Markets cannot generate ex-ante risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471858
This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan … system. A higher saving rate provides a cushion' that reduces the risk of unacceptably low benefits. For example, saving 6 … annuity exceeds 92 percent of the benchmark benefit. We also study a modified plan in which retirees face no risk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471973
Can governments roll their debt over forever in dynamically efficient economies, and thus avoid the need to raise taxes? While the answer is a clear no under certainty, it depends, under uncertainty, on whether public debt provides intergenerational insurance. When it does not, rollover is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474988
facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general equilibrium feedback of … optimal aggregate saving rate is independent of income risk. The optimal time-invariant tax on capital is increasing in income … risk. Its sign depends on the extent of risk and on the Pareto weight of future generations. If the Ramsey tax rate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453379
The theoretical literature on generational risk assumes that this risk is large and that the government can effectively …We find that intrinsic generational risk is quite small, that government policies can produce generational risk, and … that bond markets can help share generational risk. We also show that a bond market can mitigate risk-inducing government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459483