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structure to commodity futures prices, and develop new algorithms for estimation of such models using unbalanced data sets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459606
the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility of oil prices. Our model predicts a … large decline in this volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455258
growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
We conduct a comprehensive analysis of unspanned stochastic volatility in commodity markets in general and the crude …-oil market in particular. We present model-free results that strongly suggest the presence of unspanned stochastic volatility in … stochastic volatility. The model features correlations between innovations to futures prices and volatility, quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465916
The Green Paradox posits that fossil fuel markets respond to changing expectations about climate legislation, which limits future consumption, by shifting consumption to the present through lower present-day prices. We demonstrate that oil futures responded negatively to daily changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544684
Crude oil production in the United States increased by nearly 80 percent between 2008 and 2016, mostly in areas that were far from existing refining and pipeline infrastructure. The production increase led to substantial discounts for oil producers to reflect the high cost of alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453543
petroleum products by rail and pipelines. While crude oil transportation has generated intense policy debate about rail and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453859
world rate of interest(intertemporal terms of trade effects) and, for rigid wages, changes in employment. Thus Industria … gains from the intertemporal terms of trade effect if it is a net borrower and the world rate of interest falls. Precise … conditions for whether the world rate of interest falls or rises are given.We also show that Industria may gain from subsidizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478029
post-World-War-II oil shocks reviewed include the Suez Crisis of 1956-57, the OPEC oil embargo of 1973-1974, the Iranian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461867
of oil prices, relates these to the predictions of theory, and looks in detail at key features of petroleum demand and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464155