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In his seminal publications between the 1930s and 1960s, Frederick Lane offered three hypotheses regarding the impact of the Voyages of Discovery that have guided debate ever since. First, pepper and other spice prices did not rise in European markets in the century before the 1490s, and thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466787
International trade became much less multilateral during the 1930s. Previous studies, looking at aggregate trade flows, have argued that discriminatory trade policies had comparatively little to do with this. Using highly disaggregated information on the UK's imports and trade policies, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455517
Many previous studies of the role of trade during the British Industrial Revolution have found little or no role for trade in explaining British living standards or growth rates. We construct a three-region model of the world in which Britain trades with North America and the rest of the world,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458739
spectacular advances of the economies of China, India, and Southeast Asia. Section 1 reviews the debate over the sources of … the new recognition among Western economists that the sustained, very rapid growth in China and Southeast Asia was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463682
We ask how export demand shocks associated with the Asian financial crisis affected Chinese exporters. We construct firm-specific exchange rate shocks based on the pre-crisis destinations of firms' exports. Because the shocks were unanticipated and large, they are a plausible instrument for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464017
We analyze the impact of China's growth on the exports of other Asian countries. Our innovation is to distinguish the … increase in China's demand for imports from its increased penetration of export markets. Using the gravity model, we … disaggregate among commodity types and account for the endogeneity of Chinese exports. We confirm the tendency for China's exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467922
, potential impending changes in the Asian monetary and exchange rate regimes in Asia are discussed. Projecting the growth of the … Chinese economy into the future, the weight of the RMB in the financial markets will increase globally as well as in Asia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455925
play a regional role in Asia equivalent to that of the euro in greater Europe. Proponents of this view argue that China has … assume the role of a global currency similar to the U.S. dollar. Supporters point to China's widely diversified trade and … financial flows and to its institutional initiatives, not just in Asia but around the world. The other is that the renminbi will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456954
substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there … are substantial reasons that China and India may grow much less rapidly than is currently anticipated. Most importantly … discontinuities account for a large fraction of the variation in growth rates. We suggest that salient characteristics of China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458092
This paper explores the potential impacts on both China and other major countries of possible mega trade deals. These …-participation countries will lose. If non-tariff barriers are reduced more, the impacts will be larger. All effects to China on welfare, trade …, export and import are positive. Comparatively China-TPP and RCEP will yield the highest welfare outcomes for the US in our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458242