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Caliendo, Lorenzo; Parro, Fernando - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361989

Trade War and Peace : U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050

Alessandria, George A.; Shafaat Yar Khan; Khederlarian, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter dynamics to estimate the dynamic path of the probability of transiting between Normal Trade Relations and a trade war state. We find (i) there was no increase in the likelihood...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486241

Trade Wars and Trade Talks

Grossman, Gene M. - 1993

Whether governments clash in trade disputes or negotiate over trade agreements, their actions in the international arena reflect political conditions back home. Previous studies of cooperative and noncooperative trade relations have focused on governments that are immune from political pressures...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474682

Trade Policy and Global Sourcing : An Efficiency Rationale for Tariff Escalation

Antràs, Pol; Fort, Teresa C.; Gutierrez, Agustin; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

Import tariffs tend to be higher for final goods than for inputs, a phenomenon commonly referred to as tariff escalation. Yet neoclassical trade theory - and modern Ricardian trade models, in particular - predict that welfare-maximizing tariffs are uniform across sectors. We show that tariff...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334443

Bilateralism and Regionalism in Japanese and U.S. Trade and Direct Foreign Investment Patterns

Eaton, Jonathan - 1995

region. We find that features of a country associated with more trade with either Japan or the United States also tend to be … associated with more DFI from Japan or the United States. U.S. economic relations with Japan and Western Europe provide an … important exception. Despite U.S. concern about its trade deficit with Japan, we find Japan to be much more open to the United …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473842

Regionalism and rivalry : Japan and the United States in Pacific Asia

Frankel, Jeffrey A. (ed.); Kahler, Miles (contributor) - 1993

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013480821

Winners and Losers from the U.S.-China Trade War

Dang, Alicia H.; Krishna, Kala; Zhao, Yingyan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We investigate the phenomenon of trade re-allocations across countries as a result of the U.S.- China trade war. Using quarterly data on U.S. imports, we find evidence, as do others, of trade diversion in a range of industries and products, including products not targeted by U.S. tariffs on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437053

Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks : Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War

Handley, Kyle; Kamal, Fariha; Monarch, Ryan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We use the 2018-2019 U.S. trade war to examine how supply chains adjustments to a tariff cost shock affect imports and exports. Using confidential firm-trade linked data, we show that the decline in imports of tariffed goods was driven by discontinuations of U.S. buyer-foreign supplier...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337835

Non-Tariff Barriers in the U.S.-China Trade War

Chen, Tuo; Hsieh, Chang-tai; Song, Zheng Michael - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We use Chinese customs data to show that unofficial non-tariff barriers were responsible for 50\% of the overall reduction in Chinese imports from the U.S. during the height of the U.S.-China trade war in 2018 and 2019. We infer non-tariff barriers from the change in imports of U.S. products...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361973

The Effect of the U.S.-China Trade War on U.S. Investment

Amiti, Mary - 2020

We develop a new method of quantifying the impact of policy announcements on investment rates that makes use of stock market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481697