inflation to monetary policy …

Policy rules that are consistent with inflation targeting are examined in a small macroeconomic model of the US economy … implicit instrument rules, may be closer to actual operating procedures of inflation-targeting central banks. We find that … inflation forecasts are central for good policy rules under inflation targeting. Some simple instrument and targeting rules do …

Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …

constructed by only controlling for the staff forecasts imply responses of macro variables at odds with theory. We directly link …

inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …