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Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates
Cochrane, John H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Lucas (1972) is the pathbreaking analysis of the neutrality and temporary non-neutrality of money. But our central banks set interest rate targets, and do not even pretend to control money supplies. How is inflation determined under an interest rate target?
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388824
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Optimal Monetary Policy with r*<0
Billi, Roberto M.; Galí, Jordi; Nakov, Anton - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We study the optimal monetary policy problem in a New Keynesian economy with a zero lower bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate, when the steady state natural rate (r*) becomes permanently negative. We show that the optimal policy aims to approach gradually a new steady state with positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322895
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Does Occupational Licensing Reduce Job Loss During Recessions?
Blair, Peter Q.; Chung, Bobby W. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
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When Institutions Interact : How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies
Gudgeon, Matthew; Guzman, Pablo; Schmieder, Johannes; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper shows empirically that the non-employment effects of unemployment insurance (UI) for older workers depend in … difficult-to-explain trends in the unemployment rate of older German workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421233
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Disemployment Effects of Unemployment Insurance : A Meta-Analysis
Cohen, Jonathan P.; Ganong, Peter - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We systematically review studies of how unemployment benefits affect unemployment duration. Statistically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056158
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Jobless Recoveries During Financial Crises : Is Inflation the Way Out?
Calvo, Guillermo - 2013
document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the counterpart …. This suggests that currency depreciation can help reduce unemployment only insofar as it is associated with inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458979
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Living Up to Expectations : Central Bank Credibility, the Effectiveness of Forward Guidance, and Inflation Dynamics Post-Global Financial Crisis
Cole, Stephen J.; Martínez-García, Enrique; Sims, Eric R. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting unique survey-based measures of expected inflation, output growth, and interest rates, we estimate a small-scale New Keynesian model for the United States and other G7 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
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Quantitative Tightening Around the Globe : What Have We Learned?
Du, Wenxin; Forbes, Kristin; Luzzetti, Matthew N. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
This paper uses the recent cross-country experience with quantitative tightening (QT) to assess the impact of shrinking central bank balance sheets. We analyze the experience in seven advanced economies (Australia, Canada, Euro area, New Zealand, Sweden, UK and US)--documenting different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528361
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Inflation Targeting
Svensson, Lars E.O. - 2010
Inflation targeting is a monetary-policy strategy that is characterized by an announced numerical inflation target, an implementation of monetary policy that gives a major role to an inflation forecast and has been called forecast targeting, and a high degree of transparency and accountability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462017
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Euro Membership as a U.K. Monetary Policy Option : Results from a Structural Model
DiCecio, Riccardo - 2009
Developments in open-economy modeling, and the accumulation of experience with the monetary policy regimes prevailing in the United Kingdom and the euro area, have increased our ability to evaluate the effects that joining monetary union would have on the U.K. economy. This paper considers the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463754