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This article examines the risks faced by China's real estate sector within its distinct hybrid economy, which combines … gives the government a strong commitment and the ability to delay a real estate crisis. However, China's real estate risk is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250136
This paper provides new estimates of the housing stock, construction rates and price developments by city tier in China … also update estimates of the size of China's rapidly evolving real estate sector through 2021, allowing one to look at the … construction. We argue that China overall faces imbalances between supply and demand for housing stock, but the problem is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388875
productivity change." It reviews the criticisms made against that paper, especially the use of a utilization adjustment, and fin … slowdown in the growth of total factor productivity as implying, necessarily, a parallel slowdown in the technological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476438
This paper provides a unified equilibrium approach to valuing a wide variety of commercial real estate lease contracts. Using a game-theoretic variant of real options analysis, the underlying real estate asset market is modeled as a continuous-time Nash equilibrium in which developers make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469228
) the productivity of an average real-estate agent (houses sold per hour worked) falls; and (3) the real wage of a typical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469501
No cross-sectional consumer price index is currently available by state, and the BLS's cross-sectional "family budget …" index for metropolitan areas is not well-suited for cross-state analyses. In this paper we propose an algorithm for … constructing a state-specific Laspeyres price index using conveniently available information from the Census of Business and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478829
The composite index of leading indicators is found to be a valuable tool for predicting not only the direction but also … index as a predictor of (1) business cycle turning points as dated by the National Bureau of Economic Research and (2 …) quantitative changes in real GNP and the composite index of coincident indicators. Specific smoothing rules are identified which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478899
Measuring the performance of private equity investments (buyout and venture) has historically only been possible over long horizons because the IRR on a fund is only observable following the fund's final distribution. We propose a new approach to evaluating performance using actual prices paid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480859
indices. Since the matched model index does not incorporate price changes for goods which exit, and the goods that exited tend … to be those goods whose prices fall, the matched model index has a selection problem which biases it upwards. The hedonic … index does not have this problem. We illustrate with a new study of price indices for PC's. The hedonic index shows steep …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470000
treatment, rather than prices of fixed bundles of inputs. We outline features of a proposed new experimental price index -- a … medical care expenditure price index -- that is more suitable for evaluation and analyses of medical care cost changes, than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471996