Showing 1 - 10 of 2,391
We propose a comprehensive measure of systematic risk for corporate bonds as a nonlinear function of robust risk … factors and find a significantly positive link between systematic risk and the time-series and cross-section of future bond … returns. We also find a positive but insignificant relation between idiosyncratic risk and future bond returns, suggesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479944
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459286
evidence implies that returns of most anomalies are unexpected, and that mispricing, not risk, is the main driving force of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462701
value premium is larger in "bad times," due to time variation in risk preferences; (c) the unconditional CAPM fails, because … with empirical evidence, the model shows that (a) value stocks are those with higher cash-flow risk; (b) the size of the … conditional CAPM and a Fama and French (1993) HML factor outperform the unconditional CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466855
This paper evaluates the central insight of the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (C-CAPM) that an asset …'s expected return is determined by its equilibrium risk to consumption. Rather that measure the risk of a portfolio by the … contemporaneous covariance of its return and consumption growth -- as done in the previous literature on the C-CAPM and the pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469162
The ability to identify which factors best capture systematic return covariation is central to applications of multifactor pricing models. This paper uses a common data set to evaluate the performance of various proposed factors in capturing return comovements. Factors associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472716
We present an alternative expectation formation mechanism that helps rationalize well known asset pricing anomalies, such as the predictability of excess returns, excess volatility, and the equity-premium puzzle. As with rational expectations (RE), the expectation formation mechanism we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470997
limited risk absorption capacity in futures markets. We find that movements in open interest are highly pro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461945
. Also borrowing constraints over the investors' life cycle that shift the stock market risk to the saving middle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469889
This paper breaks assets' betas with common factors into components attributable to news about future cash flows, real interest rates, and excess returns. To achieve this decomposition the paper uses a vector autoregressive time-series model and an approximate log-linear present value relation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474630