Showing 1 - 10 of 3,759
The paper studies the effect of the market's perceived exchange rate volatility on bid-ask spreads. The anticipated … volatility is extracted from currency options data. An increase in the perceived volatility is found to widen bid-ask spreads … estimate of the effect of the volatility on the spreads. Although the spread-volatility relation implied by the option model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474188
Market impacts of Japanese macroeconomic announcements within minutes on the dollar/yen foreign exchange are analyzed …-term business survey conducted by Bank of Japan), GDP, industrial production (preliminary), PPI, CPI (Tokyo area), the unemployment … components have return impacts also have impacts on deals and volatility. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463629
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar-mark and dollar sterling data, we find that spot and forward exchange rates together are well represented by a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474508
An efficient method is developed for pricing American options on combination stochastic volatility …/jump-diffusion processes when jump risk and volatility risk are systematic and nondiversifiable, thereby nesting two major option pricing … models. The parameters implicit in PHLX-traded Deutschemark options of the stochastic volatility/jump- diffusion model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474344
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. We first argue that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473491
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
We use arbitrage activity in equity, fixed income, and foreign exchange markets to characterize the frictions and constraints facing intermediaries. The average pairwise correlation between the 29 arbitrage spreads that we study is 21%. These low correlations are inconsistent with canonical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435123
Cross-sectional forecasts of conservative and optimistic biases in analyst earnings estimates predict a stock's future returns, especially for firms that are hard to value. Trading strategies--whether based on the component of analyst bias that is correlated with major return anomalies or the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248012
higher than justified by investors' own subsequent short-term return expectations. This excess volatility in forward … expectations helps account for excess volatility in prices, inelastic demand for equities, and stylized facts about the equity term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444