mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

individuals' subjective believes of their mortality risk. Previous studies have shown that individual responses on subjective …

volatility forecast, coupled with a parametric lognormal-normal mixture distribution implied by the theoretically and empirically …

/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …

widely-used income-side version GDPI . We propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. We then …

find that cities with higher levels of mortality during the Great Influenza of 1918-1919 subsequently expanded hospital … capacity by more than cities experiencing less influenza mortality: cities in the top half of the mortality distribution …

We examine mortality differences between Americans with and without a four-year college degree over the period 1992 to … 2021. From 1992 to 2010, both groups saw falling mortality, but with greater improvements for the more educated; from 2010 … to 2019, mortality fell for those with a BA and rose for those without; from 2019 to 2021, mortality rose for both groups …