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information collection affects equity analyst performance. Collection of hard information, proxied by office workday length, is … positively associated with the quantity and timeliness of analyst reports. Soft information collection, as proxied by propensity … star analyst. Both hard and soft information collection improve forecast precision, a causal result that we confirm using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447257
How does lie detection constrain the potential for one person to persuade another to change her action? We consider a model of Bayesian persuasion in which the Receiver can detect lies with positive probability. We show that the Sender lies more when the lie detection probability increases. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210093
The central question we address in this paper is: what can an analyst infer from choice data about what a decision maker has learned? The key constraint we impose, which is shared across models of Bayesian learning, is that any learning must be rationalizable. To implement this constraint, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537767
We examine innovative contexts like scientific research or technical R&D where agents must search across many potential projects of varying and uncertain returns. Is it better to possess incomplete but accurate data on the value of some projects, or might there be cases where it is better to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544680
Starting from Robbins (1952), the literature on experimentation via multi-armed bandits has wed exploration and exploitation. Nonetheless, in many applications, agents' exploration and exploitation need not be intertwined: a policymaker may assess new policies different than the status quo; an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544703
project implementation. We incorporate all-or-nothing thresholds in a canonical model of information cascades. Early … rejections. Project proposers consequently can charge higher prices. Proposal feasibility, project selection, and information … information aggregation achieve efficiency in the large-crowd limit. Our key insights remain robust under thresholds in dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537714
Despite substantial efforts to help consumers search in more intuitive ways, text search remains the predominant tool for product discovery online. In this paper, we explore the effects of visual and textual cues for search refinement on consumer search and purchasing behavior. We collaborate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486191
How should theory-based entrepreneurs search for strategies to implement their ideas? The theory-based view of strategy posits that decision-makers hold theories about their environment premised on beliefs that should be actively tested. This causal framework, which underlies the theory-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528358
Information is a fundamental component of all financial transactions and markets, but it can arrive in multiple forms …. We define what is meant by hard and soft information and describe the relative advantages of each. Hard information is … quantitative, easy to store and transmit in impersonal ways, and its information content is independent of its collection. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480726
There is a growing literature on the differential impact of soft' vs. hard' information on organizational structure and … behavior. This study is an attempt to empirically quantify the value of soft information, using a data-base on the market for … screenplays. Script quality is difficult to estimate without subjective evaluation. Therefore soft information should be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468225