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with a 50 basis point rise in the inflation indexed bond return differential in favor of the foreign country and an 50 … yields on long maturity inflation - indexed bonds. This relationship can be interpreted as defining the fair value of the … exchange rate that will prevail in any model or real world economy in which inflation indexed bonds are traded. An advantage of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459935
The world's first known inflation-indexed bonds were issued by the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in 1780 during the … Revolutionary War. These bonds were invented to deal with severe wartime inflation and with angry discontent among soldiers in the U … to justify indexation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468511
Debt sustainability is fundamentally a probabilistic concept: Debt is rarely sustainable with probability one. We propose an index of external debt sustainability that reflects this uncertainty. Namely we construct the index as the probability that, at the current exchange rate, net external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453645
This paper develops a simple theory of the supply of index bonds by a firm, and uses that model to examine in some detail possible reasons for the non-existence of privately issued index bonds in the United States. The major elements of the theory involve the trade-off between the tax advantages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478818
model to postwar US data and compare consumption and portfolio rules with and without bond indexation, portfolio constraints …, and the possibility of investment in equities. We find that when indexed bonds are not available, inflation risk leads … investors to shorten their bond portfolios and increase their precautionary savings. This has serious welfare costs for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472012
We examine asset prices in environments where the risk-free rate lies considerably below the growth rate. To do so, we introduce a tractable model of a production economy featuring heterogeneous trading technologies, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate risk. We show that allowing for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436963
Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions …, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation …-based inflation expectations measures increase. Changes in household survey expectations or in measures of inflation uncertainty do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462740
We construct a perpetual youth DSGE model with aggregate un- certainty in which there are dynamically complete markets and agents have Epstein-Zin preferences. We prove that, when endowments have a realistic hump-shaped age-profile, our model has three steady-state equilibria. One of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388774
This paper estimates expected future real interest rates and inflation rates from observed prices of UK government … nominal and index-linked bonds. The estimation method takes account of imperfections in the indexation of UK index …-linked bonds. It assumes that expected log returns on all bonds are equal, and that expected real interest rates and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473007
these securities represent the only true long-run hedge against inflation risk. CPI-linked bonds make possible the creation … inflation-protected retirement annuities. The introduction of index-linked bonds eliminates one of the main obstacles to the … indexation of benefits in private pension plans. A firm could hedge the risk associated with a long-term indexed liability by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476264