Showing 1 - 10 of 500
One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a … presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they … electoral college system provides more effective protection against election fraud compared to the popular vote system. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861
We estimate the impact of a political party's ability to unilaterally redistrict Congressional seats upon partisan seat share allocations in the U.S. House of Representatives. Controlling for stateXdecade and year effects, we find an 8.2 percentage point increase in the Republican House seat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409833
This paper studies the manipulation of electoral maps by political parties, known as gerrymandering. At the core of our analysis is the recognition that districts must have the same population size but only voters matter for electoral incentives. Using a novel model of gerrymandering that allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322829
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285
We study the contribution of economic conditions to the success of the first avowedly nativist political party in the United States. The Know-Nothing Party gained control of a number of state governments in the 1854-1856 elections running on a staunchly anti-Catholic and anti-Irish platform. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482297
on US elections since 1952. We envision a forecaster who fits a model using data from a given election and uses that … each election will have a 50-50 partisan split. Enriching the set of demographics available does not change this conclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858
not run in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, a relatively representative electoral constituency, in the general election of July 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576639
We present a theoretical model of a parliamentary democracy, where party structures, government coalitions and fiscal policies are endogenously determined. The model predicts that, relative to proportional elections, majoritarian elections reduce government spending because they reduce party...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468518
We analyze a model of US presidential primary elections for a given party. There are two candidates, one of whom is a higher quality candidate. Voters reside in m different states and receive noisy private information about the identity of the superior candidate. States vote in some order, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459321
We study experimentally the properties of the majority runoff system and compare them to the ones of plurality rule, in the setup of a divided majority. Our focus is on Duverger's famous predictions that the plurality rule leads to a higher coordination of votes on a limited number of candidates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479899