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risk and return in the stock market. This finding is robust in subsamples, to asymmetric specifications of the variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467774
have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment … producer distress indices that signal the build-up of upside and downside price risk, and by conducting a risk scenario …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the moments of the yield curve (or alternatively, the term spread) as a predictor of future economic activity, defined as either recessions, or industrial production growth. In this paper, we re-examine the evidence for this predictor for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468283
Recent studies have used the value spread to predict aggregate stock returns to construct cash-flow betas that appear to explain the size and value anomalies. We show that two related variables, the book-to-market spread (the book-to-market of value stocks minus that of growth stocks) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467357
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
, noting that according to a simple model of futures arbitrage, if index-fund buying influences prices by changing the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458772
This paper presents a dynamic model of a public pension fund's choice of portfolio risk. Optimal portfolio allocations … public pension fund management, we find evidence that funds chose greater overall asset - liability portfolio risk following …, pension plans take more risk when they have greater representation by plan participants on their Boards of Trustees …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462201
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a "volatility," "risk premium," and "real" factor, contain important information about one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467202
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity …-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices …, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This war risk factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469089
correlations with developed countries' equity markets significantly reduces the unconditional portfolio risk of a world investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474313