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cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924
We study the source of exchange rate fluctuations using a general equilibrium model accommodating shocks in goods and financial markets. These shocks differ in their induced comovements between exchange rates, interest rates, and quantities. A calibration matching data from the U.S. and G10...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072917
Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792
We study the effects of dollar swap lines using high frequency responses in asset prices around policy announcements. News about expanded dollar swap lines causes a reduction in liquidity premia, compression of deviations from covered interest parity (CIP), and depreciation of the dollar. Equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437032
Since 2007, an increase in risk or risk aversion has resulted in a US dollar appreciation and greater deviations from covered interest parity (CIP). In contrast, prior to 2007, risk had no impact on the dollar, and CIP held. To explain these phenomena, we develop a two-country model featuring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447258
This paper explores how non-U.S. central banks behave when firms in their economies engage in currency mismatch, borrowing more heavily in dollars than justified by their operating exposures. We begin by documenting that, in a panel of 53 countries, central bank holdings of dollar reserves are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477280
, which is estimated to have a relatively low price elasticity of 0.81. Hedging by the banking sector propagates the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477245
This paper explores the relationship between different funding structures--including the source, instrument, currency, and counterparty location of funding--and the extent of financial stress experienced in different countries and sectors during the sharp risk-off shock in early 2020 when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287355
Exchange-rate models fit very well for the U.S. dollar in the 21st century. A "standard" model that includes real interest rates and a measure of expected inflation for the U.S. and the foreign country, the U.S. comprehensive trade balance, and measures of global risk and liquidity demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056131
Financial markets play two roles with implications for the exchange rate: they accommodate risk sharing and act as a source of shocks. In prevailing theories, these roles are seen as mutually exclusive and individually face challenges in explaining exchange rate dynamics. However, we demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544715