Showing 1 - 10 of 2,913
The decade from 1985 to 1995 was an unprecedented period of declining barriers to global trade. The reform wave was especially pronounced in developing countries where overvalued currencies were eliminated, quantitative import restrictions dismantled, and import tariffs reduced. What accounts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191068
It has been a remarkably difficult empirical task to identify clear-cut real effects of exchange-rate regimes on the open economy. Similarly, no definitive view emerges as to the aggregate effects of capital account liberalizations. The main hypothesis of the paper is that a direct and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468138
Using a sample of 32 developed and developing countries we analyze the empirical characteristics of sudden stops in capital flows and the relevance of balance sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. We find that large real exchange rate (RER) fluctuations coming hand in hand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468173
This paper predicts ex-ante the probability of currency crises end size of expected devaluations month by month for Mexico between 1980 and 1986 using a heterodox linear discrete time model of exchange rate crises. The forces contributing to speculative attacks on the Mexican peso include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475715
time, the definition of external balance has evolved in response to changes in the world economy's structure. The foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476993
At the onset of the COVID-19 economic crisis, as in other crisis episodes, the flight to safety was accompanied by a rapid appreciation of "safe haven" currencies. We quantify currency-induced balance sheet effects for total external positions as well as for individual asset classes using new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629497
Trending current accounts pose a challenge for intertemporal open-economy macro models. This paper shows that a two-country representative-agent business cycle model is able to explain the historical time-paths of the US and Japanese current accounts, both of which display trends but in opposite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463405
predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463974
"While substantial research finds that financial development boosts overall economic growth, we study whether financial development disproportionately raises the incomes of the poor and alleviates poverty. Using a broad cross-country sample, we distinguish among competing theoretical predictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010522996
A Third World data base documenting commodity and factor prices 1870-1940 has been collected, yielding annual time …/rental ratios the world round between 1870 and 1940. The data offer a useful way to identify the impact of globalization on the pre …-industrial Third World. This paper finds commodity price convergence to have been bigger in the Third World than the Atlantic economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470966