Burger, John D.; Warnock, Francis E.; Warnock, Veronica C. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Latin American portfolio inflows show a strong tendency to revert to a natural level, KF*, over medium-run horizons. Deviations of actual flows from KF* provide policymakers with a real-time predictor of future flows, sudden stops and vulnerability to global shocks. Analysis of short-run...