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estimated in two ways. One may test for speculative bubbles, or fads, by testing whether the two estimates are the same. When … the test is applied to some annual U.S. stock market data, the data usually reject the null hypothesis of no bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477002
This paper formulates and estimates multistage production functions for children's cognitive and noncognitive skills. Skills are determined by parental environments and investments at different stages of childhood. We estimate the elasticity of substitution between investments in one period and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462910
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty … years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble's build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase … differs strongly across banks and bubble episodes. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725
A four-factor model with two "mispricing" factors, in addition to market and size factors, accommodates a large set of anomalies better than notable four- and five-factor alternative models. Moreover, our size factor reveals a small-firm premium nearly twice usual estimates. The mispricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457136
When excess returns are used to estimate linear stochastic discount factor (SDF) models, researchers often adopt a normalization of the SDF that sets its mean to 1, or one that sets its intercept to 1. These normalizations are often treated as equivalent, but they are subtly different both in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462024
Recent research documents that aggregate stock prices are driven by shocks with persistence levels ranging from daily intervals to several decades. Building on these insights, we introduce a parsimonious equilibrium model in which regime-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467238
In this paper we propose a general equilibrium model that successfully reproduces the historical experience of the cross section of US stock prices as well as the realized history of the market portfolio. The model achieves this while addressing traditional concerns in the asset pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469492
massive bubble in agricultural futures prices at various times in recent years. This paper analyzes the market impact of … financial index investment in recent years did not cause massive bubbles in agricultural futures prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459596
Volatility tests are an alternative to regression tests for evaluating the joint null hypothesis of market efficiency and risk neutrality. Acomparison of the power of the two kinds of tests depends on what the alternative hypothesis is taken to be. By considering tests based on conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477997
explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for … investors an expectation of a speculative bubble, an unstable situation with expectations for increase in the short run only …, are produced. Four different time-series indicators of whether there is an expectation of a negative speculative bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471792