This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at …some stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the …-traded sector as the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being …

Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but … inflation near its 2-percent target---would have severely hampered an already anaemic recovery …

variables influence cross-country resilience regarding exchange rates, interest rates, stock prices, inflation, and growth …-2023. Cross-sectional regressions reveal that limiting inflation, active management of precautionary buffers of international … variables for financial development, central bank independence, and the inflation rate preceding the cycles. These findings may …

inflation during the first quarter of the 21st century, yielding important insights for central banking. Price stability has … involves a credible commitment to a nominal anchor with a strong response to inflation and pre-emptive leaning against an … them to stabilize both inflation and economic activity …

regularization penalties, and we use them in a substantive exploration of Eurozone inflation and real interest rate density forecasts …. All individual inflation forecasters (even the ex post best forecaster) are outperformed by our regularized mixtures. From …

This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …

of inflation. The first part of the paper considers the ways in which the EMU is likely to affect inflation and cyclical …

This paper studies the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates in the euro area, using data … power for future inflation. The real money gap contains more information about future inflation than the output gap and the … Eurosystem's money-growth indicator is an inferior indicator of future inflation …