We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …

We introduce dynamic incentive contracts into a model of unemployment dynamics and present three results. First, wage … cyclicality from incentives does not dampen unemployment dynamics: the response of unemployment to shocks is first … cyclicality from bargaining dampens unemployment dynamics through the standard mechanism. Third, our calibrated model suggests 46 …

-employment, duration dependence, and job ladders …

There are 420 million young people in Africa today. Understanding how youth search for jobs and what affects their … years in Uganda's main cities. We examine how two standard labor market interventions impact their search for good jobs … offered vocational training become even more optimistic, search more intensively and direct their search towards high quality …

employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of … vacancies, u + v. Through the Beveridge curve, the number of vacancies is inversely related to the number of jobseekers. With … such symmetry, the labor market is efficient when there are as many jobseekers as vacancies (u = v), too tight when there …

consistent with a standard non-stationary partial equilibrium search model. The program is self-financing even under conservative …

Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …

This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …

variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the … presence of country and year fixed effects and lagged unemployment. We also use firms' expectations of future employment, which …