market responses in recent midterm elections to Presidential elections. We use prediction markets tracking election outcomes …

Bush or Gore platforms during the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election. Two sources of daily data during the six months leading … up to the election are incorporated: firm-specific equity returns and the probability of a Bush victory as implied by …

Extremely narrow election outcomes--such as could be reversed by rejecting a few thousand ballots--are likely to … College system. Starting from probabilistic simulations of likely presidential election outcomes that are similar to the … output from election forecasting models, we calculate the likelihood of disputable, narrow outcomes under the Electoral …

Inversions--in which the popular vote winner loses the election--have occurred in 4 US Presidential elections. We show …

. Our primary focus is the Presidential election of 2008, which followed an unprecedented swing from very generous mortgage … outcome of the election. The effect on voting in these swing states from local contractions in mortgage credit supply was five …

, turned against the incumbent Carter, a Democrat, and campaigned for Ronald Reagan, a Republican, in the 1980 Election. To …

election, the model shows that partisan congruence's impact on news discernment is substantially amplified during election … periods. Outside an election, when faced with a true and a fake news story and asked to select the most likely true story, an … individual is 4% more likely to choose the true story if it favors their party; in the days prior to the election, this increases …

This paper examines the relationship between the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE) and election polls during the 1988 … Canadian General Election campaign. Two hypotheses are investigated: first, did polls influence the TSE, and secondly, if so …