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The paper examines interest rates in nine Latin American and East Asian countries during the period 1987-1994. The goal is to discover why interest rates have remained high, failing to converge to U.S. levels, despite capital market liberalization and a resurgence of portfolio capital inflows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473726
In this paper I use weekly data from seven emerging nations - four in Latin America and three in Asia - to investigate the extent to which changes in Fed policy interest rates have been transmitted into domestic short term interest rates during the 2000s. The results suggest that there is indeed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460103
This case study compares the importance of prevailing market factors against COVID-19 dynamics and policy responses in explaining the daily evolution of emerging market (EM) sovereign CDS spreads during the first half of 2020. We adopt a two-stage econometric approach. In the first stage, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482122
shock caused by lockdowns, the idiosyncratic demand shock suffered by sectors that rely on high contact with their costumers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481555
. We apply our methodology to the COVID-19 shock to examine the pattern of flow and return realizations: the sizable risk …-off nature of this shock engenders reactions that reside deep in the left tail of most relevant emerging market quantities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482147
We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471420
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face, is the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals, but these reserves are seldom sufficient and always expensive to hold. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467904
are associated with lower spreads between the country's borrowing rate and world interest rates. Both effects jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453995
The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924