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in recent decades can be explained by the success that monetary policy has had in quelling inflation and anchoring … inflation expectations since the 1980s. We also review the experience of the 1960s, the last time inflation expectations became …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479742
This paper first outlines the key stylized facts about changes in inflation dynamics in recent years: 1) inflation … persistence has declined, 2) the Phillips curve has flattened, and 3) inflation has become less responsive to other shocks. These … changes in inflation dynamics are interpreted as resulting from an anchoring of inflation expectations as a result of better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465506
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of arginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471224
for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.<br><br>We proceed in two steps. We first … setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by the presence … of labor market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464750
for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465282
perspective on the linkages among monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle. It is argued that the adoption of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469948
as a tool to compare the characteristics of European inflation dynamics with those observed in the U.S. We also analyze … the factors underlying inflation inertia by examining the cyclical behavior of marginal costs, as well as that of its two … is substantial, but in line with survey evidence and U.S. estimates, (c) inflation dynamics in the Euro area appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470506
This paper examines what strategies policymakers have used to both reduce and control inflation. It first outlines why … a consensus has emerged that inflation needs to be controlled. Then it examines four basic strategies: exchange rate … pegging, monetary targeting, inflation targeting, and the just do it' strategy of preemptive monetary policy with no explicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472421
for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.<br><br>We proceed in two steps. We first … setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by the presence … of labor market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248798
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084740