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We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of arginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471224
for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.<br><br>We proceed in two steps. We first … setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by the presence … of labor market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464750
for the mild effects on inflation and economic activity of the recent increase in the price of oil: (a) good luck (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465282
perspective on the linkages among monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle. It is argued that the adoption of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469948
as a tool to compare the characteristics of European inflation dynamics with those observed in the U.S. We also analyze … the factors underlying inflation inertia by examining the cyclical behavior of marginal costs, as well as that of its two … is substantial, but in line with survey evidence and U.S. estimates, (c) inflation dynamics in the Euro area appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470506
Most central banks perceive a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing the gap between output and … inflation is equivalent to stabilizing the welfare-relevant output gap. In this paper, we argue that this property of the new … stabilizing inflation and stabilizing the welfare-relevant output gap. We show that not only does the extended model have more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466865
Galí and Gertler (1999) developed a hybrid variant of the New Keynesian Phillips curve that relates inflation to real … marginal cost, expected future inflation and lagged inflation. GMM estimates of the model suggest that forward looking behavior … is dominant: The coefficient on expected future inflation substantially exceeds the coefficient on lagged inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466883
each country faces a short run tradeoff between output and inflation. The model is sufficiently tractable to solve … response to domestic inflation, under cooperation they should respond to foreign inflation as well. In either scenario …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469845
Our answer: not so well. We reach that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468056
The remarkable decline in macroeconomic volatility experienced by the U.S. economy since the mid-80s (the so-called Great Moderation) has been accompanied by large changes in the patterns of comovements among output, hours and labor productivity. Those changes are reflected in both conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464476