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Estimated dynamic stochastic equilibrium (DSGE) models are now widely used for empirical research in macroeconomics as well as for quantitative policy analysis and forecasting at central banks around the world. This paper reviews recent advances in the estimation and evaluation of DSGE models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836382
In this paper we investigate the sources of the important shifts in the volatility of U.S. macroeconomic variables in the postwar period. To this end, we propose the estimation of DSGE models allowing for time variation in the volatility of the structural innovations. We apply our estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030911
The following arguments are developed: (i) models without monetary aggregates do not imply that inflation is a non-monetary phenomenon and are not necessarily non-monetary models; (ii) theoretical considerations suggest that such models are misspecified, but the quantitative significance of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829421
In this paper we investigate the comparative properties of empirically-estimated monetary models of the U.S. economy. We make use of a new data base of models designed for such investigations. We focus on three representative models: the Christiano, Eichenbaum, Evans (2005) model, the Smets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005830024
Not in an estimated DSGE model of the US economy, once we account for the fact that most of the high-frequency volatility in wages appears to be due to noise, rather than to variation in workers' preferences or market power.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021951
terms of welfare, robustness to alternative shock processes, and are less prone to equilibrium indeterminacy. A simple … rule that implements the optimal plan and that is also completely robust to the specification of exogenous shock processes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635937
This paper compares the P-bar model of price adjustment with the currently dominant Calvo specification. Theoretically, the P-bar model is more attractive as it depends upon adjustment costs for physical quantities rather than nominal prices, while incorporating a one-period information lag....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088754
We develop a flexible semiparametric time series estimator that is then used to assess the causal effect of monetary policy interventions on macroeconomic aggregates. Our estimator captures the average causal response to discrete policy interventions in a macro-dynamic setting, without the need...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969232
-equation restrictions. This paper develops and explores policy analysis approaches that are either based on a generalized shock structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005580123
This paper proposes a new approach to identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks in an international vector autoregression. Using high-frequency data on the prices of Fed Funds futures contracts, we measure the impact of the surprise component of the FOMC-day Federal Reserve policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049761