, parental earnings and participation in the labor market in the short or long run, completed fertility, marriage or divorce. Not …

We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model … quantitative macroeconomic theory. We apply the model to examine the effect of a change in fertility from the UN medium-variant to …

Young (2005) argues that HIV related population declines reinforced by the fertility response to the epidemic will lead … level data on fertility from South Africa and relying on between cohort variation in country level HIV infection, he … estimates a large negative effect of HIV prevalence on fertility. However, the studies that utilize the recent rounds of …

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985 …-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off …

increase in the growth rate of productivity which accounts for about 90 percent of the predicted fall in fertility before 1880 …The Barro-Becker model is a simple intuitive model of fertility choice. In its original formulation, however, it has … not been very successful at reproducing the changes in fertility choice in response to decreased mortality and increased …

This paper develops a unified model of growth, population, and technological progress that is consistent with long …-term historical evidence. The economy endogenously evolves through three phases. In the Malthusian regime, population growth is … population, so that output per capita is stable around a constant level. In the post-Malthusian regime, the growth rates of …

critical for understanding the relationship between aggregate fertility and household savings. First, we document that parents … perceive children as an important source of old-age support and that, in partial equilibrium (PE), increased fertility lowers … aggregate fertility on household savings. …

Economic demographers have long analyzed fertility cycles. This paper builds a foundation for these cycles in a model … of fertility choice with dynastic altruism and aggregate shocks. It is shown that under reasonable parameter values …, fertility is pro-cyclical and that, following a shock, fertility continues to cycle endogenously as subsequent cohorts enter …

evolved non-monotonically in the course of human history. In early stages of development, risk-tolerant, growth promoting … evolutionary advantage, diminishing the growth potential of advanced economies and contributing to convergence in economic growth …