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We incorporate reference-dependent worker behavior into a search-matching model of the labor market, in which firms have all the bargaining power and productivity follows a log-linear AR(1) process. Motivated by Akerlof (1982) and Bewley (1999), we assume that existing workers' output falls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969211
There are two obvious possibilities that can account for the rise in productivity during recent recessions. The first is that the decline in the workforce was not random, and that the average worker was of higher quality during the recession than in the preceding period. The second is that each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969215
movements in GDP, unemployment, vacancies, and wages in the period from 2007 until 2011. We show that contractionary financial … important in the U.K. and Sweden than in the U.S., but matching efficiency improved in Germany, helping to keep unemployment low …. A counterfactual experiment suggests that unemployment in Germany would have been substantially higher if the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969287
The high pace of reallocation across producers is pervasive in the U.S. economy. Evidence shows this high pace of reallocation is closely linked to productivity. While these patterns hold on average, the extent to which the reallocation dynamics in recessions are "cleansing" is an open question....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969390
recovered but unemployment lingered). This paper presents a model that captures these three facts. The key elements of the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969402
Using 1979-2011 Current Population Survey data for the United States and 1975-2011 New Earnings Survey data for Great Britain, we study wage behavior in both countries, with particular attention to the Great Recession. Real wages are procyclical in both countries, but the procyclicality of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969431
I revisit the General Theory's discussion of the role of wages in employment determination through the lens of the New Keynesian model. The analysis points to the key role played by the monetary policy rule in shaping the link between wages and employment, and in determining the welfare impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969433
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885297
will be supplied. Will the unemployment rate, which has declined at roughly one percent per year, decline even faster from … has profound implications for the Federal Reserve. The unemployment rate has declined rapidly, particularly within the … last year. Faster real GDP growth will accelerate the decline in the unemployment rate and soon reduce it beyond any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950750
Employment and hours appear far more cyclical than dictated by the behavior of productivity and consumption. This puzzle has been labeled "the labor wedge" -- a cyclical wedge between the marginal product of labor and the marginal rate of substitution of consumption for leisure. The wedge can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950823