Showing 1 - 10 of 177
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885297
accessibility to appropriate jobs should shorten the duration of unemployment. We focus on lower-income workers with strong labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951348
This paper studies how the thick market effect influences local unemployment rate fluctuations. The paper presents a … fluctuations in the local unemployment rates. Since larger cities attain the critical market size more frequently, they have … shorter unemployment cycles, lower peak unemployment rates, and lower mean unemployment rates. Our empirical tests are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004687
unemployment and increasing reliance on social security persist across wide regions of East Germany together with these migration … networking rate, high average labor productivity, low unemployment and no emigration ("West Germany'') and one with a low … networking rate, low average labor productivity, high unemployment and a constant rate of emigration ("East Germany''). The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089073
labor markets. We find that workers age 62 to 69 are responsive to the unemployment rate and to long-run fluctuations in … the rising unemployment rate will be almost 50 percent larger than the decrease in retirement brought about by the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601702
We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of corporate default, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. For U.S. Industrial firms, based on over 390,000 firm-months of data spanning 1979 to 2004, the level and shape...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036792
Panel surveys generally suffer from "seam bias"--too few transitions observed within reference periods and too many reported between interviews. Seam bias is likely to affect duration models severely since both the start date and the end date of a spell may be misreported. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040650
We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of bankruptcy over relatively long time horizons, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. We find evidence in the U.S. industrial machinery and instruments sector, based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019417
. The effect on the exit rate from unemployment is unclear. In this paper we show that, if agents have exponential time … unemployment later. Using two large longitudinal data sets, we find that various measures of impatience are negatively correlated … with search effort and the exit rate from unemployment, and are orthogonal to reservation wages. Overall, impatience has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005575764
This paper studies the relation between individuals' mutual fund flows and fund characteristics, establishing three key results. First, consistent with tax motivations, individual investors are reluctant to sell mutual funds that have appreciated in value and are willing to sell losing funds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005579921