Showing 1 - 10 of 177
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885297
accessibility to appropriate jobs should shorten the duration of unemployment. We focus on lower-income workers with strong labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951348
labor markets. We find that workers age 62 to 69 are responsive to the unemployment rate and to long-run fluctuations in … the rising unemployment rate will be almost 50 percent larger than the decrease in retirement brought about by the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601702
This paper studies how the thick market effect influences local unemployment rate fluctuations. The paper presents a … fluctuations in the local unemployment rates. Since larger cities attain the critical market size more frequently, they have … shorter unemployment cycles, lower peak unemployment rates, and lower mean unemployment rates. Our empirical tests are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004687
unemployment and increasing reliance on social security persist across wide regions of East Germany together with these migration … networking rate, high average labor productivity, low unemployment and no emigration ("West Germany'') and one with a low … networking rate, low average labor productivity, high unemployment and a constant rate of emigration ("East Germany''). The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089073
We propose and illustrate a Markov-switching multi-fractal duration (MSMD) model for analysis of inter-trade durations in financial markets. We establish several of its key properties with emphasis on high persistence (indeed long memory). Empirical exploration suggests MSMD's superiority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271372
We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of bankruptcy over relatively long time horizons, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. We find evidence in the U.S. industrial machinery and instruments sector, based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019417
Panel surveys generally suffer from "seam bias"--too few transitions observed within reference periods and too many reported between interviews. Seam bias is likely to affect duration models severely since both the start date and the end date of a spell may be misreported. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040650
Studies of the consumption-smoothing benefits of unemployment insurance (UI) have found that the optimal benefit level … optimal benefit rate in terms of income and price elasticities of unemployment durations, directly inferring risk aversion for … income effects account for 70% of the effect of UI on unemployment durations, and yield an optimal replacement rate around 50 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718418
This paper conducts a Cox-type survival analysis of Japanese corporate firms using census-coverage data collected by METI. A study of exiting firms confirmed several characteristics of Japanese firms in the 1990s. First, excessive internalization in the corporate structure and activities is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005775097