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test that prediction in Afghanistan, Iraq and the Philippines, using survey data on unemployment and two newly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008625938
This paper reviews the economics approach to conflict and national borders. The paper provides a summary of ideas and concepts from the economics literature on the size of nations; illustrates them within an analytical framework where populations engage in conflict over borders and resources,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628424
We develop and test an economic theory of insurgency motivated by the informal literature and by recent military doctrine. We model a three-way contest between violent rebels, a government seeking to minimize violence by mixing service provision and coercion, and civilians deciding whether to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714535
to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005055415
segments of the population through a range of mechanisms. We study the effects of civilian casualties in Iraq and Afghanistan … longer run 'propaganda' and 'revenge' effects. In Afghanistan we find strong evidence that local exposure to civilian … harm to civilians may indeed help counterinsurgent forces in Afghanistan to reduce insurgent recruitment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611566
understanding active engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. This empiricists’ insurgency reinforces a classic literature on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240579
Existing theories of pre-emptive war typically predict that the leading country may choose to launch a war on a … was Japan who launched a war against the West in 1941, not the West that pre-emptively attacked Japan. Similarly, many … have argued that trade makes war less likely, yet World War I erupted at a time of unprecedented globalization. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969254
We study the impact of nationalism and interstate frictions on international economic relations by analyzing market reaction to adverse shocks to Sino-Japanese relations in 2005 and 2010. Japanese companies with high China exposure suffer relative declines during each event window; a symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950819
The sizable hoarding of international reserves by several East Asian countries has been frequently attributed to a modern version of monetary mercantilism -- hoarding international reserves in order to improve competitiveness. From a long-run perspective, manufacturing exporters in East Asia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085040
The overriding practical problem now is the tension between the global financial and market system and the national political and power structures. The main analytical short-coming lies in the failure to incorporate financial frictions, especially default, into our macro-economic models. Neither...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395475