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What Drives Aggregate Investment?
Bachmann, Rüdiger; Zorn, Peter - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969200
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Reference-Dependence and Labor-Market Fluctuations
Eliaz, Kfir; Spiegler, Rani - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
We incorporate reference-dependent worker behavior into a search-matching model of the labor market, in which firms have all the bargaining power and productivity follows a log-linear AR(1) process. Motivated by Akerlof (1982) and Bewley (1999), we assume that existing workers' output falls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969211
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Making Do With Less: Working Harder During Recessions
Lazear, Edward; Shaw, Kathryn L.; Stanton, Christopher - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
There are two obvious possibilities that can account for the rise in productivity during recent recessions. The first is that the decline in the workforce was not random, and that the average worker was of higher quality during the recession than in the preceding period. The second is that each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969215
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The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles
Jorda, Oscar; Taylor, Alan M.; Schularick, Moritz - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2014
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks' balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969257
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Structural and Cyclical Forces in the Labor Market During the Great Recession: Cross-Country Evidence
Sala, Luca; Trigari, Antonella; Söderström, Ulf - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2012
movements in GDP, unemployment, vacancies, and wages in the period from 2007 until 2011. We show that contractionary financial … important in the U.K. and Sweden than in the U.S., but matching efficiency improved in Germany, helping to keep unemployment low …. A counterfactual experiment suggests that unemployment in Germany would have been substantially higher if the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969287
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Assessing DSGE Model Nonlinearities
Aruoba, S. Boragan; Schorfheide, Frank; Bocola, Luigi - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
We develop a new class of nonlinear time-series models to identify nonlinearities in the data and to evaluate nonlinear DSGE models. U.S. output growth and the federal funds rate display nonlinear conditional mean dynamics, while inflation and nominal wage growth feature conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969293
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Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes
Reinhart, Carmen; Rogoff, Kenneth S - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2014
We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 ½ years. Five to six years after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969301
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Credit, Bankruptcy, and Aggregate Fluctuations
Nakajima, Makoto; Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2014
theory of unsecured credit account for the high volatility and procyclicality of credit and the high volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969312
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Did Housing Policies Cause the Postwar Boom in Homeownership?
Garriga, Carlos; Chambers, Matthew; Schlagenhauf, Donald E. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
After the collapse of housing markets during the Great Depression, the U.S. government played a large role in shaping the future of housing finance and policy. Soon thereafter, housing markets witnessed the largest boom in recent history. The objective in this paper is to quantify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969329
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Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics
Gilchrist, Simon; Zakrajsek, Egon; Sim, Jae W. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2014
Micro- and macro-level evidence indicates that fluctuations in idiosyncratic uncertainty have a large effect on investment; the impact of uncertainty on investment occurs primarily through changes in credit spreads; and innovations in credit spreads have a strong effect on investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969332