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Globalization has made it possible for labor in developing countries to augment labor in the developed world, without having to relocate, in ways not thought possible only a few decades ago. We argue that this large increase in the developed world's effective labor supply, triggered by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008610972
ideas. The coroner's evidence consists of the small standard deviation of the core inflation rate in the past two decades … despite substantial volatility of the unemployment rate, and in particular the common tendency of PC inflation equations to … predict ever greater amounts of negative inflation (i.e., deflation) over the years of labor-market slack since 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951448
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 … significant negative effect of trend inflation on output even when such an effect exists in reality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821728
innovations, and negatively correlated with inflation innovations. The disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027105
We propose a new method of testing asset pricing models that relies on using quantities rather than prices or returns. We use the capital flows into and out of mutual funds to infer which risk model investors use. We derive a simple test statistic that allows us to infer, from a set of candidate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144243
This paper illustrates that evaluating alternate abatement polices that affect the growth path of an economy on the basis of their effects on asset valuation may not be welfare enhancing. We show that the class of abatement polices considered in the integrated assessment literature are robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821892
In the data, asset prices exhibit large negative moves at frequencies of about 18 months. These large moves are puzzling as they do not coincide, nor are they followed by any significant moves in the real side of the economy. On the other hand, we find that measures of investor's uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005775065
standard New-Keynesian model, and may even inflate the equity premium. Second, asset-price movements improve the inflation …-output trade-off so that average output can rise without increasing much average inflation. Finally, a strict inflation …-targeting policy may result in lower average welfare than a more flexible inflation-targeting policy, which instead increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680933
Fiat money contains the seeds of its own destruction. It has no intrinsic value and, yet, it can be exchanged for valuable consumption and production goods. As Hahn (1965) shows, this situation puts fiat money's market value or liquidity premium at the brink of collapse. In this paper I will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796587
("wageless recovery"). Second, inflation determines the type of recovery: low inflation (below 30 percent annual rate) is … associated with jobless recovery, while high inflation is associated with wageless recovery. The paper shows that this pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796672